Saturday, December 6, 2014

2015 KY Derby - Early Handicapping


Note: This blog is non-commercial and was developed for my own personal use to organize my racing viewing activity.  Your comments as to its usefulness to you would be appreciated.  Thanks!


In the lead up to the 2015 Kentucky Derby, Jeff Siegel, among others will be making predictions based on the experience to date of the many runners who will be vying for post positions come the first Saturday in May 2015.  I enjoy having the information at hand to review the records of various horses.  This post will attempt to organize available information, including providing links to more sites.  These horses have all been added to the Horses To Watch blog:  Horses To Watch blog
In addition to active horses, Horseracing Nation has several categories for horses: Top 250 All-Time, Top 250 All-Time Females, Kentucky Derby Contenders, Oaks Contenders,  International Top 500.  It's a fun place to explore, since each horse has a profile and usually has some videos of key races.
Points races for qualifying for Kentucky Derby:  America's Best Racing - Road to the 2015 Triple Crown

TOP TEN AS OF 12-5-14

American Pharoah (2012)
Pioneerof the Nile - Littleprincessemma (Yankee Gentleman)
J: Victor Espinoza         T: Bob Baffert
O: Zayat Stables, LLC   B: Zayat Stables
Pedigree   Equibase
Profile on HRTV 9-14-14   
Debut was a dud; broke maiden in the G 1 Del Mar Futurity 9-3-14 by 4 3/4 - Replay
Frontrunner S 9-27-14 - Santa Anita - Replay  Beat Calculator by 3 1/4 Texas Red by 4 3/4 

Texas Red (2012)
(Afleet Alex - Ramatuelle (CHI), by Jeune Homme)
J: Kent J. Desormeaux    T: J. Keith Desormeaux
O: Brehm, Erich, Detmar, Wayne, Michaels, Lee, Desormeaux, J. Keith et al.
B: Stonestreet Thoroughbred Holdings LLC
Pedigree     Equibase
Breeders Cup Juvenile 2014  Soundly beats Carpe Diem, Upstart, Mr. Z and Souper Colossal

Dortmund (2012)  C.
Big Brown - Our Josephina, by Tale of the Cat
J: Martin Garcia     T: Bob Baffert
O: Kaleem Shah, Inc.    B: Emilie Gerlinde Fojan
Pedigree    Equibase
Allow Opt Claiming 11-29-14 - Video - by 7 3/4

Blofeld (2012) C.
( Quality Road - Storm Minstrel, by Storm Cat)
J: John R. Velazquez
T: Todd A. Pletcher
O: Glencrest Farm LLC and JSM Equine
B: Keats Grove Farm
Pedigree    Equibase
Nashua S - 11-2-14 - Replay  Beats El Kabeir by 5

Carpe Diem  (2012
Colt by Giant's Causeway ex. Rebridled Dreams (Unbridled's Song) 

J: John R. Velazquez         T: Todd A. Pletcher
O: WinStar Farm LLC and Stonestreet Stables LLC   B: Coffee Pot Stable
Pedigree    Equibase
Another "brilliant baby" whose 2 year-old campaign resounds with promise.
Breeder's Futurity (video)10-4-14 - Keeneland Beat Mr. Z by 6 1/4

Breeders Cup Juvenile 11-1-14  Loses to Texas Red by 6 1/2, finishes in front of Upstart, The Great War, Mr. Z,  One Lucky Dane, Super Colossal 
MSW - 9-1-14 - Replay - Saratoga 

Competitive Edge (2012)
(Super Saver - Magdalena's Chase, by Cape Town)
J: John R. Velazquez   T: Todd A. Pletcher
O: Favreau, Nancy, Psoinos, Kathy and Tabor, Michael B.
B: WinStar Farm, LLC
Pedigree   Equibase
G1 Hopeful 9-1-14  Saratoga - Replay By 5 3/4 over I Spent It
Won MSW by 10 1/4 7-26-14 Saratoga

Ocho Ocho Ocho  (2012)
( Street Sense - Winner, by Horse Chestnut (SAF))
J: Mike E. Smith   T: James M. Cassidy
O: DP Racing, LLC     B: Siena Farms LLC
Pedigree    Equibase
BC Juvenile Turf Sprint 11-1-14 - Replay  Wins by 5 3/4
Delta Downs Jackpot 11-22-14 - Replay - Beats Mr. Z. by a nose

Mr. Jordan (2012)  C.
(Kantharos - Miss Skeetd, by Cloud Hopping)
J: Gabriel Saez   T: Edward Plesa, Jr.
O: Melin, David, Ellman, Leon and Plesa, Laurie
B: Philip Matthews & Karen Matthews
Pedigree   Equibase
Juvenile Sprint S - 11-8-14 - by 3 - Replay
Smooth Air S - 11-29-14 - by 4 1/2 - Replay

Frosted (2012)
Tapit - Fast Cookie, by Deputy Minister
J: Irad Ortiz, Jr.    T: Kiaran P. McLaughlin
O: Godolphin Racing LLC    B: Darley
Pedigree  Equibase
Remsen S - Aqueduct - 11-29-14 Lost the Remsen by 1/2 to Leave The Light On
MSW 10-30-14 - Aqueduct - Replay - Win by 5 1/4

Upstart  (2012)

The handsome UPSTART
Colt by Flatter ex. Party Silks (Touch Gold)
J: Jose L. Ortiz   T: Richard A. Violette, Jr.
O: Ralph M. Evans   B: Mrs. Gerald A. Nielsen

Pedigree  Equibase
Breeders Cup Juvenile 2014 - 11-1-14 - 3rd behind Texas Red & Carpe Diem
Maiden win - 8/15/14 - Race replay   Race chart
Stakes win - Funny Cide - 8/24/14 - Race replay
HRTV Horizon - Profile

Articles/More links
Plesa looks ahead to 2015 with Mr. Jordan and Souper Colossal
Road to the Kentucky Derby - List of qualifying races/points

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